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analytics/statistical_insights.json
5442 lines
{
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"mean_return": 68.75,
"std_return": 18.75,
"sharpe_ratio": 3.6667
}
},
{
"watch_id": "seamaster-300-heritage-2014",
"model": "Seamaster 300 Master Co-Axial",
"series": "Seamaster",
"price_statistics": {
"mean": 6875.0,
"median": 6850.0,
"std_dev": 683.28,
"variance": 466875.0,
"coefficient_of_variation": 9.94,
"min": 6000,
"max": 7800,
"range": 1800,
"q1": 6375.0,
"q3": 7350.0,
"iqr": 975.0
},
"distribution_metrics": {
"skewness": 0.0808,
"kurtosis": -1.4525,
"interpretation": {
"skewness": "symmetric",
"kurtosis": "light-tailed"
}
},
"return_statistics": {
"mean_return": 9.15,
"std_return": 1.15,
"sharpe_ratio": 7.9643
}
},
{
"watch_id": "constellation-globemaster-2015",
"model": "Constellation Globemaster",
"series": "Constellation",
"price_statistics": {
"mean": 7450.0,
"median": 7400.0,
"std_dev": 763.22,
"variance": 582500.0,
"coefficient_of_variation": 10.24,
"min": 6500,
"max": 8500,
"range": 2000,
"q1": 6875.0,
"q3": 7975.0,
"iqr": 1100.0
},
"distribution_metrics": {
"skewness": 0.1417,
"kurtosis": -1.463,
"interpretation": {
"skewness": "symmetric",
"kurtosis": "light-tailed"
}
},
"return_statistics": {
"mean_return": 9.37,
"std_return": 1.55,
"sharpe_ratio": 6.0414
}
},
{
"watch_id": "seamaster-bullhead-1969",
"model": "Seamaster Bullhead",
"series": "Seamaster",
"price_statistics": {
"mean": 2845.0,
"median": 1500.0,
"std_dev": 2901.05,
"variance": 8416100.0,
"coefficient_of_variation": 101.97,
"min": 225,
"max": 8000,
"range": 7775,
"q1": 500.0,
"q3": 4000.0,
"iqr": 3500.0
},
"distribution_metrics": {
"skewness": 0.8619,
"kurtosis": -0.7733,
"interpretation": {
"skewness": "right-skewed",
"kurtosis": "normal-tailed"
}
},
"return_statistics": {
"mean_return": 147.22,
"std_return": 38.79,
"sharpe_ratio": 3.7954
}
},
{
"watch_id": "louis-brandt-chronograph-1991",
"model": "Louis Brandt II Chronograph",
"series": "Specialty",
"price_statistics": {
"mean": 14050.0,
"median": 13500.0,
"std_dev": 4000.94,
"variance": 16007500.0,
"coefficient_of_variation": 28.48,
"min": 9200,
"max": 20000,
"range": 10800,
"q1": 11300.0,
"q3": 16250.0,
"iqr": 4950.0
},
"distribution_metrics": {
"skewness": 0.3466,
"kurtosis": -1.2193,
"interpretation": {
"skewness": "symmetric",
"kurtosis": "light-tailed"
}
},
"return_statistics": {
"mean_return": 29.59,
"std_return": 3.45,
"sharpe_ratio": 8.5662
}
}
],
"percentile_rankings": [
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-moonwatch-1957",
"model": "Speedmaster Professional CK2915",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 96.9,
"cagr": 90.6,
"total_appreciation": 100.0
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Top 10%",
"cagr": "Top 10%",
"appreciation": "Top 10%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-moonwatch-1969",
"model": "Speedmaster Professional Moonwatch ST 105.012",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 35.9,
"cagr": 78.1,
"total_appreciation": 84.4
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Below Average",
"cagr": "Top 25%",
"appreciation": "Top 25%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-ultraman-1968",
"model": "Speedmaster Professional 'Ultraman'",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 89.1,
"cagr": 87.5,
"total_appreciation": 93.8
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Top 25%",
"cagr": "Top 25%",
"appreciation": "Top 10%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-125-1973",
"model": "Speedmaster 125",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 54.7,
"cagr": 46.9,
"total_appreciation": 53.1
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Above Average",
"cagr": "Below Average",
"appreciation": "Above Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-mark-v-1985",
"model": "Speedmaster Mark V",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 15.6,
"cagr": 59.4,
"total_appreciation": 46.9
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Bottom 25%",
"cagr": "Above Average",
"appreciation": "Below Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-alaska-project-1978",
"model": "Speedmaster Alaska Project III",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 100.0,
"cagr": 96.9,
"total_appreciation": 96.9
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Top 10%",
"cagr": "Top 10%",
"appreciation": "Top 10%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-racing-2008",
"model": "Speedmaster Racing",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 21.9,
"cagr": 31.2,
"total_appreciation": 21.9
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Bottom 25%",
"cagr": "Below Average",
"appreciation": "Bottom 25%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-dark-side-moon-2013",
"model": "Speedmaster Dark Side of the Moon",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 65.6,
"cagr": 53.1,
"total_appreciation": 18.8
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Above Average",
"cagr": "Above Average",
"appreciation": "Bottom 25%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-snoopy-2003",
"model": "Speedmaster Professional Snoopy Award",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 89.1,
"cagr": 93.8,
"total_appreciation": 62.5
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Top 25%",
"cagr": "Top 10%",
"appreciation": "Above Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "seamaster-300-1957",
"model": "Seamaster 300",
"series": "Seamaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 81.2,
"cagr": 84.4,
"total_appreciation": 90.6
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Top 25%",
"cagr": "Top 25%",
"appreciation": "Top 10%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "seamaster-diver-300m-1993",
"model": "Seamaster Diver 300M",
"series": "Seamaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 18.8,
"cagr": 28.1,
"total_appreciation": 37.5
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Bottom 25%",
"cagr": "Below Average",
"appreciation": "Below Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "seamaster-planet-ocean-2005",
"model": "Seamaster Planet Ocean",
"series": "Seamaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 40.6,
"cagr": 37.5,
"total_appreciation": 25.0
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Below Average",
"cagr": "Below Average",
"appreciation": "Below Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "seamaster-aqua-terra-2002",
"model": "Seamaster Aqua Terra",
"series": "Seamaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 26.6,
"cagr": 34.4,
"total_appreciation": 31.2
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Below Average",
"cagr": "Below Average",
"appreciation": "Below Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "seamaster-ploprof-1970",
"model": "Seamaster PloProf 600M",
"series": "Seamaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 62.5,
"cagr": 68.8,
"total_appreciation": 71.9
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Above Average",
"cagr": "Above Average",
"appreciation": "Above Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "constellation-pie-pan-1952",
"model": "Constellation 'Pie Pan'",
"series": "Constellation",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 26.6,
"cagr": 65.6,
"total_appreciation": 81.2
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Below Average",
"cagr": "Above Average",
"appreciation": "Top 25%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "constellation-manhattan-1982",
"model": "Constellation Manhattan",
"series": "Constellation",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 31.2,
"cagr": 50.0,
"total_appreciation": 50.0
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Below Average",
"cagr": "Above Average",
"appreciation": "Above Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "de-ville-1967",
"model": "De Ville",
"series": "De Ville",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 9.4,
"cagr": 62.5,
"total_appreciation": 65.6
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Bottom 25%",
"cagr": "Above Average",
"appreciation": "Above Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "de-ville-tresor-2014",
"model": "De Ville Tr\u00e9sor",
"series": "De Ville",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 35.9,
"cagr": 21.9,
"total_appreciation": 15.6
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Below Average",
"cagr": "Bottom 25%",
"appreciation": "Bottom 25%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "railmaster-1957",
"model": "Railmaster",
"series": "Railmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 68.8,
"cagr": 81.2,
"total_appreciation": 87.5
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Above Average",
"cagr": "Top 25%",
"appreciation": "Top 25%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "cosmic-moonphase-1947",
"model": "Cosmic Moonphase",
"series": "Cosmic",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 54.7,
"cagr": 56.2,
"total_appreciation": 68.8
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Above Average",
"cagr": "Above Average",
"appreciation": "Above Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "la-magique-1981",
"model": "La Magique",
"series": "Specialty",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 84.4,
"cagr": 18.8,
"total_appreciation": 43.8
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Top 25%",
"cagr": "Bottom 25%",
"appreciation": "Below Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "flightmaster-1969",
"model": "Flightmaster",
"series": "Flightmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 54.7,
"cagr": 71.9,
"total_appreciation": 75.0
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Above Average",
"cagr": "Above Average",
"appreciation": "Top 25%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "seamaster-de-ville-165020",
"model": "Seamaster De Ville 165.020",
"series": "Seamaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 3.1,
"cagr": 40.6,
"total_appreciation": 59.4
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Bottom 25%",
"cagr": "Below Average",
"appreciation": "Above Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "geneve-dynamic-1968",
"model": "Gen\u00e8ve Dynamic",
"series": "Gen\u00e8ve",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 6.2,
"cagr": 43.8,
"total_appreciation": 56.2
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Bottom 25%",
"cagr": "Below Average",
"appreciation": "Above Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-reduced-1988",
"model": "Speedmaster Reduced",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 12.5,
"cagr": 25.0,
"total_appreciation": 40.6
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Bottom 25%",
"cagr": "Below Average",
"appreciation": "Below Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-1957-trilogy-2017",
"model": "Speedmaster 1957 Trilogy Limited Edition",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 75.0,
"cagr": 100.0,
"total_appreciation": 34.4
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Top 25%",
"cagr": "Top 10%",
"appreciation": "Below Average"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "seamaster-300-heritage-2014",
"model": "Seamaster 300 Master Co-Axial",
"series": "Seamaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 43.8,
"cagr": 12.5,
"total_appreciation": 9.4
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Below Average",
"cagr": "Bottom 25%",
"appreciation": "Bottom 25%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-moonwatch-calibre-321-2020",
"model": "Speedmaster Moonwatch 321 Canopus Gold",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 93.8,
"cagr": 3.1,
"total_appreciation": 3.1
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Top 10%",
"cagr": "Bottom 25%",
"appreciation": "Bottom 25%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-moonwatch-calibre-321-steel-2020",
"model": "Speedmaster Moonwatch Calibre 321 Steel",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 71.9,
"cagr": 9.4,
"total_appreciation": 6.2
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Above Average",
"cagr": "Bottom 25%",
"appreciation": "Bottom 25%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "constellation-globemaster-2015",
"model": "Constellation Globemaster",
"series": "Constellation",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 54.7,
"cagr": 15.6,
"total_appreciation": 12.5
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Above Average",
"cagr": "Bottom 25%",
"appreciation": "Bottom 25%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "seamaster-bullhead-1969",
"model": "Seamaster Bullhead",
"series": "Seamaster",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 46.9,
"cagr": 75.0,
"total_appreciation": 78.1
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Below Average",
"cagr": "Top 25%",
"appreciation": "Top 25%"
}
},
{
"watch_id": "louis-brandt-chronograph-1991",
"model": "Louis Brandt II Chronograph",
"series": "Specialty",
"percentile_rankings": {
"price": 78.1,
"cagr": 6.2,
"total_appreciation": 28.1
},
"interpretation": {
"price": "Top 25%",
"cagr": "Bottom 25%",
"appreciation": "Below Average"
}
}
],
"hypothesis_tests": [
{
"comparison": "Speedmaster vs Seamaster",
"series1": {
"name": "Speedmaster",
"mean_cagr": 7.62,
"sample_size": 13
},
"series2": {
"name": "Seamaster",
"mean_cagr": 4.89,
"sample_size": 8
},
"t_statistic": 1.4433,
"p_value": 0.1652,
"cohens_d": 0.7418,
"significant": false,
"interpretation": "No statistically significant difference"
},
{
"comparison": "Speedmaster vs Constellation",
"series1": {
"name": "Speedmaster",
"mean_cagr": 7.62,
"sample_size": 13
},
"series2": {
"name": "Constellation",
"mean_cagr": 4.21,
"sample_size": 3
},
"t_statistic": 1.1265,
"p_value": 0.2789,
"cohens_d": 0.9692,
"significant": false,
"interpretation": "No statistically significant difference"
},
{
"comparison": "Speedmaster vs De Ville",
"series1": {
"name": "Speedmaster",
"mean_cagr": 7.62,
"sample_size": 13
},
"series2": {
"name": "De Ville",
"mean_cagr": 4.23,
"sample_size": 2
},
"t_statistic": 0.9107,
"p_value": 0.379,
"cohens_d": 0.964,
"significant": false,
"interpretation": "No statistically significant difference"
},
{
"comparison": "Speedmaster vs Specialty",
"series1": {
"name": "Speedmaster",
"mean_cagr": 7.62,
"sample_size": 13
},
"series2": {
"name": "Specialty",
"mean_cagr": 2.83,
"sample_size": 2
},
"t_statistic": 1.2892,
"p_value": 0.2198,
"cohens_d": 1.3799,
"significant": false,
"interpretation": "No statistically significant difference"
},
{
"comparison": "Seamaster vs Constellation",
"series1": {
"name": "Seamaster",
"mean_cagr": 4.89,
"sample_size": 8
},
"series2": {
"name": "Constellation",
"mean_cagr": 4.21,
"sample_size": 3
},
"t_statistic": 0.5827,
"p_value": 0.5744,
"cohens_d": 0.4869,
"significant": false,
"interpretation": "No statistically significant difference"
},
{
"comparison": "Seamaster vs De Ville",
"series1": {
"name": "Seamaster",
"mean_cagr": 4.89,
"sample_size": 8
},
"series2": {
"name": "De Ville",
"mean_cagr": 4.23,
"sample_size": 2
},
"t_statistic": 0.4636,
"p_value": 0.6553,
"cohens_d": 0.4746,
"significant": false,
"interpretation": "No statistically significant difference"
},
{
"comparison": "Seamaster vs Specialty",
"series1": {
"name": "Seamaster",
"mean_cagr": 4.89,
"sample_size": 8
},
"series2": {
"name": "Specialty",
"mean_cagr": 2.83,
"sample_size": 2
},
"t_statistic": 1.4743,
"p_value": 0.1786,
"cohens_d": 1.6103,
"significant": false,
"interpretation": "No statistically significant difference"
},
{
"comparison": "Constellation vs De Ville",
"series1": {
"name": "Constellation",
"mean_cagr": 4.21,
"sample_size": 3
},
"series2": {
"name": "De Ville",
"mean_cagr": 4.23,
"sample_size": 2
},
"t_statistic": -0.021,
"p_value": 0.9846,
"cohens_d": -0.0248,
"significant": false,
"interpretation": "No statistically significant difference"
},
{
"comparison": "Constellation vs Specialty",
"series1": {
"name": "Constellation",
"mean_cagr": 4.21,
"sample_size": 3
},
"series2": {
"name": "Specialty",
"mean_cagr": 2.83,
"sample_size": 2
},
"t_statistic": 1.4696,
"p_value": 0.238,
"cohens_d": 1.8398,
"significant": false,
"interpretation": "No statistically significant difference"
},
{
"comparison": "De Ville vs Specialty",
"series1": {
"name": "De Ville",
"mean_cagr": 4.23,
"sample_size": 2
},
"series2": {
"name": "Specialty",
"mean_cagr": 2.83,
"sample_size": 2
},
"t_statistic": 1.3671,
"p_value": 0.305,
"cohens_d": 1.9334,
"significant": false,
"interpretation": "No statistically significant difference"
}
],
"risk_metrics": [
{
"watch_id": "de-ville-tresor-2014",
"model": "De Ville Tr\u00e9sor",
"series": "De Ville",
"risk_metrics": {
"mean_return": 11.46,
"volatility": 0.53,
"downside_deviation": 0,
"max_drawdown": 0.0,
"sharpe_ratio": 21.4751,
"sortino_ratio": 0,
"calmar_ratio": 0
},
"risk_adjusted_ranking": 21.4751
},
{
"watch_id": "louis-brandt-chronograph-1991",
"model": "Louis Brandt II Chronograph",
"series": "Specialty",
"risk_metrics": {
"mean_return": 29.59,
"volatility": 3.45,
"downside_deviation": 0,
"max_drawdown": 0.0,
"sharpe_ratio": 8.5662,
"sortino_ratio": 0,
"calmar_ratio": 0
},
"risk_adjusted_ranking": 8.5662
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-reduced-1988",
"model": "Speedmaster Reduced",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"risk_metrics": {
"mean_return": 23.25,
"volatility": 2.72,
"downside_deviation": 0,
"max_drawdown": 0.0,
"sharpe_ratio": 8.538,
"sortino_ratio": 0,
"calmar_ratio": 0
},
"risk_adjusted_ranking": 8.538
},
{
"watch_id": "seamaster-diver-300m-1993",
"model": "Seamaster Diver 300M",
"series": "Seamaster",
"risk_metrics": {
"mean_return": 20.3,
"volatility": 2.49,
"downside_deviation": 0,
"max_drawdown": 0.0,
"sharpe_ratio": 8.1506,
"sortino_ratio": 0,
"calmar_ratio": 0
},
"risk_adjusted_ranking": 8.1506
},
{
"watch_id": "seamaster-300-heritage-2014",
"model": "Seamaster 300 Master Co-Axial",
"series": "Seamaster",
"risk_metrics": {
"mean_return": 9.15,
"volatility": 1.15,
"downside_deviation": 0,
"max_drawdown": 0.0,
"sharpe_ratio": 7.9643,
"sortino_ratio": 0,
"calmar_ratio": 0
},
"risk_adjusted_ranking": 7.9643
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-dark-side-moon-2013",
"model": "Speedmaster Dark Side of the Moon",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"risk_metrics": {
"mean_return": 12.06,
"volatility": 1.53,
"downside_deviation": 0,
"max_drawdown": 0.0,
"sharpe_ratio": 7.8987,
"sortino_ratio": 0,
"calmar_ratio": 0
},
"risk_adjusted_ranking": 7.8987
},
{
"watch_id": "speedmaster-racing-2008",
"model": "Speedmaster Racing",
"series": "Speedmaster",
"risk_metrics": {
"mean_return": 16.55,
"volatility": 2.17,
"downside_deviation": 0,
"max_drawdown": 0.0,
"sharpe_ratio": 7.6187,
"sortino_ratio": 0,
"calmar_ratio": 0
},
"risk_adjusted_ranking": 7.6187
},
{
"watch_id": "constellation-globemaster-2015",
"model": "Constellation Globemaster",
"series": "Constellation",
"risk_metrics": {
"mean_return": 9.37,
"volatility": 1.55,
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